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THE CRAFT BROKER

NORTHERN COLORADO HOMES

Market Update

Northern Colorado Real Estate Survives 2025 - A Look Ahead

What a year it has been! 2025 was certainly a unique market. Everything in the 1st quarter felt normal, but once inventory shot up, and buyers retreated due to higher interest rates and general fatigue, the 2nd and 3rd quarter felt pretty muted. Luckily, better outlooks and calmer interest rates helped the 4th quarter. Now as we head into 2026 with renewed optimism, interest rates have now dipped below 6% for the first time in years, giving buyers more buying power, better opportunities and a reason to get off the fence. Sellers have more demand for their homes, although not enough competition to push prices higher yet. All in all, it was a satisfactory year for real estate in Northern Colorado.

NORTHERN COLORADO MEDIAN HOME VALUES

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NORTHERN COLORADO HOME SALES

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FORT COLLINS (IRES AREA 9, INCLUDING FORT COLLINS, WELLINGTON, TIMNATH, & WESTERN LARIMER COUNTY)

Fort Collins had a sluggish end to 2025 with slumping sales in the Choice City. 178 homes were sold, as compared to 205 sales in December of 2024, down 13.17%. This is not alarming as the 4th quarter of 2024 was strong in general, so we are comparing against a bit of an outlier in 2025. A positive note is that median value popped 6.08% in December to $622,500, giving home sellers some hope that flat or eroding prices will be mitigated in 2026. Overall for the year, the Fort Collins market performed well. There was nearly 8% more homes sold in 2025 as compared to 2024, even if it didn't feel that strong. Median value did not increase appreciably in 2025, up just .46% to $607,000 for the year. Surviving is surviving.

LOVELAND/BERTHOUD (IRES AREA 8, INCLUDING LOVELAND, BERTHOUD, & SW LARIMER COUNTY)

The Loveland/Berthoud market had a strong December to round out 2025, and it was sorely needed! Sales were up nearly 26% as compared to December 2024. Because of the increase in sales, median value dipped just a bit as compared to December 2024, down to $524,450. For the year, Loveland also survived. There was nothing groundbreaking in either direction. Sales, in aggregate, were up 26% as compared to the sluggish 2024 - a testament to strong buyer demand in Loveland. Median value dipped just a bit, down 2.41% from 2024, to $549,937. A strong 4th quarter bodes well for Loveland and I am hopeful the momentum will continue in 2026.

GREELEY/EVANS (IRES MAIL CITIES GREELEY AND EVANS)

The Greeley/Evans market had a huge December in terms of sales, up 56% as compared to December 2024, representing 106 sales. A busy month in terms of sales means there was good demand and plenty of homes to meet that demand. Prices dipped just 1% as compared to December 2024, to $415,000 - well within range of normal for Greeley/Evans this year. Overall in 2025, Greeley/Evans was performed well- posting a 5.62% increase in sales AND a 1.41% median price increase. It ain't much, but good news is good news. Because of Greeley's affordability, it will likely continue the momentum in 2026.

A Look Ahead to 2026

Looking forward to 2026, I’m keeping an eye on these three “I’s”: interest rates, inventory, and impressions. With interest rates dropping below 6% in the second week of January, there is renewed hope that many buyers will come to the market, especially since economic indicators suggest that, if anything, rates will not climb and will more than likely stay stable or slightly decline over the next year. If rates drop enough, more buyers will flood the market, increase competition and bring prices up. This could also bring more sellers to the market to take advantage of demand, offload their homes and move up. Additionally, lower interest rates may give some homeowners the ability to refinance out of 7%+ rates to make their payments more affordable. Next, increased inventory was a major factor in 2025, with many lingering listings bogging down the market during months of tepid demand. Many homes that did not sell by the end of the 4th quarter were pulled from the market during the holidays to breathe and reset. My apprehension is that many of these “zombie listings” will return in the first quarter and bog down the market, once again, as buyers sift through inventory. My hope is that demand will be strong enough to meet this increased inventory. If not, it could keep prices from edging upwards throughout 2026. Lastly, impressions are key – meaning interest from buyers. Many buyers over the last 2-3 years have been fence-sitting, either waiting for prices or interest rates to come down to help with affordability. Since it does not appear that prices will retreat in Fort Collins, the hope is that buyers will see the improved affordability from sub-6% interest rates as their opportunity to jump in. Buyer demand was very scattered and unpredictable in 2025 and it would certainly improve the mental health of all real estate professionals if there was some stability with our buyer demand. Fort Collins remains a very attractive destination for all segments of the population, from recent college graduates to retirees, which has kept this market strong and stable through uncertainty. 2026 may be the year that our recent stability turns into continued strength.

INVENTORY

Inventory fell sharply again in December as the holidays traditionally make showing and selling homes less desirable. I am happy to see how quickly inventory came down, and we are just a hair above the low point for 2024 too. This is a good reset. One HILARIOUS point is that the low point in inventory in 2025 is WELL ABOVE peak inventory for 2021. My how the tables have turned.

PERCENT OF LIST PRICE TO SOLD PRICE

Because of the holidays and end of year, we typically see December as a time where buyers get the best deals - simply because most folks are happy to receive an offer this late in the year and they are fearful if they don't negotiate and take a good offer, they'll miss out and it'll be months before something else comes along. That being said, sales to list price ratios have steadied in the 97.5(ish) range meaning most buyers are getting about 2.5% off list prices. This generally trends upwards in January and February and peaks in May or June. I suspect we can count on that again.

I provide the expert guidance, resources and confidence to easily make a move in Northern Colorado. Every real estate transaction is unique and I work closely with you to develop a plan, strategy and approach to get the most out of your next sale or purchase. If you, a friend or a neighbor have a real estate need, please get in touch with me | Jared@TheCraftBroker.com or 970.222.1049

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About the Author: Jared Reimer is a native Coloradoan and Partner at Elevations Real Estate in Old Town Fort Collins. He’s a community advocate, business champion, blogger, leader, tireless volunteer, innovator, thinker and expert on all things real estate in Fort Collins and surrounding Northern Colorado. You’re likely to find Jared spending quality time outside with his wife, Kacie, and kids, Hudson and Isla, or visiting with friends and clients throughout Fort Collins and Northern Colorado. Call or text Jared at 970.222.1049 or email him at Jared@TheCraftBroker.com